Will It Rain in Vilnius Today?

Vilnius is a carry-an-umbrella city: rain on roughly 29% of days

Vilnius records about 661mm of rain across roughly 107 wet days a year, which is a 29% chance on an average day. July is the wettest month at 75mm (11% of the annual total) and February the driest at 30mm. Local rain type: steady rain. Vilnius gets moderate Baltic precipitation with summer peaks. The baroque Old Town's covered courtyards provide atmospheric shelter.

Chance of rain on an average day: 29%

Rainfall climatology for Vilnius. The live hour-by-hour answer for today loads at the top of this page from Open-Meteo and refreshes through the day — the figures below describe a typical year, not today.

Last updated: · Live forecast data refreshes hourly.

Key numbers for Vilnius

Annual rainfall661mm
Rain days per year107
Odds on an average day29%
Wettest monthJuly — 75mm over 13 days
Driest monthFebruary — 30mm over 5 days
Rain typesteady rain
Best dry windowMay and June offer warm, increasingly dry conditions.
Worst rain windowJuly brings the most rainfall as warm continental thunderstorms.

What the data actually tells you

Wettest against driest

July delivers 150% more rain than February (75mm vs 30mm). That gap is the difference between planning around showers and ignoring them.

How concentrated the rain is

No single month holds more than 11% of the annual total, so rain in Vilnius is spread through the year — there is no season you can rely on being dry.

Umbrella or jacket

Vilnius rain typically comes as discrete showers, so a compact umbrella and a flexible plan are usually enough.

Wet-day frequency

Rain falls on about 13 days in July against 5 in February — the frequency swing matters more for planning than the millimetre totals.

Monthly rainfall in Vilnius

Climate normals. Use them to judge whether today's live forecast at the top of the page is typical or unusual for the season.

MonthRainfallRain daysChance on a given dayHighs
January36mm620%-1°C
February30mm517%-1°C
March37mm723%3°C
April42mm723%8°C
May52mm930%14°C
June68mm1240%19°C
July75mm1343%23°C
August72mm1343%23°C
September58mm1033%19°C
October48mm930%14°C
November48mm930%8°C
December38mm723%3°C

Planning around rain in Vilnius

How we turn rain data into a yes or no

Rain probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm falls at your location — not how long it rains. For Vilnius we combine the hourly probability curve, expected volume in millimetres, and the city's own rainfall record into a single umbrella verdict.

FactorWeightWhat it measures
Hourly probability 40% Peak and sustained chance of measurable rain across the next 24 hours.
Expected volume 30% Total millimetres, which separates a passing shower from a genuine soaking.
Timing & duration 20% When rain starts, when it eases, and the longest continuous dry window.
Local rain type 10% Drizzle, brief showers, thunderstorms or monsoon — each needs different gear.

Live hourly values come from Open-Meteo and refresh through the day. Monthly rainfall figures are climate normals, so they describe a typical year rather than a forecast.

Frequently asked questions

How often does it rain in Vilnius?

Vilnius records rain on roughly 107 days a year — about a 29% chance on any given day — totalling around 661mm.

What is the rainiest month in Vilnius?

July, with about 75mm over 13 rain days. That is 11% of the entire year's rainfall in a single month.

When is the driest time in Vilnius?

February is the driest month at 30mm across roughly 5 days. May and June offer warm, increasingly dry conditions.

Do I need an umbrella in Vilnius?

Vilnius gets moderate Baltic precipitation with summer peaks. The baroque Old Town's covered courtyards provide atmospheric shelter.

Does a 40% rain probability mean it will rain for 40% of the day?

No. Probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm of rain falls at your location at some point in the period. Check the expected millimetres alongside it: 40% with 0.4mm is a passing shower, 40% with 12mm is a soaking.

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