Will It Rain in Tonga Today?

Tonga is a carry-an-umbrella city: rain on roughly 31% of days

Tonga records about 1780mm of rain across roughly 112 wet days a year, which is a 31% chance on an average day. March is the wettest month at 192mm (11% of the annual total) and July the driest at 72mm. Local rain type: brief showers. Tonga has a tropical wet/dry season. Cyclone risk exists from November through April — the dry season (May-October) is ideal for visiting.

Chance of rain on an average day: 31%

Rainfall climatology for Tonga. The live hour-by-hour answer for today loads at the top of this page from Open-Meteo and refreshes through the day — the figures below describe a typical year, not today.

Conditions on this page are recalculated from the latest forecast every time it is opened, for the current date in the location's own time zone.

Key numbers for Tonga

Annual rainfall1780mm
Rain days per year112
Odds on an average day31%
Wettest monthMarch — 192mm over 15 days
Driest monthJuly — 72mm over 6 days
Rain typebrief showers
Best dry windowJune through October offers the driest, most comfortable conditions.
Worst rain windowJanuary through March brings the highest cyclone risk and heaviest rainfall.

What the data actually tells you

Wettest against driest

March delivers 167% more rain than July (192mm vs 72mm). That gap is the difference between planning around showers and ignoring them.

How concentrated the rain is

No single month holds more than 11% of the annual total, so rain in Tonga is spread through the year — there is no season you can rely on being dry.

Umbrella or jacket

Tonga rain typically comes as discrete showers, so a compact umbrella and a flexible plan are usually enough.

Wet-day frequency

Rain falls on about 15 days in March against 6 in July — the frequency swing matters more for planning than the millimetre totals.

Monthly rainfall in Tonga

Climate normals. Use them to judge whether today's live forecast at the top of the page is typical or unusual for the season.

MonthRainfallRain daysChance on a given dayHighs
January185mm1550%29°C
February168mm1447%29°C
March192mm1550%28°C
April140mm1137%27°C
May102mm827%26°C
June82mm723%25°C
July72mm620%24°C
August78mm620%24°C
September72mm620%25°C
October82mm723%26°C
November88mm723%27°C
December128mm1033%28°C

Planning around rain in Tonga

How we turn rain data into a yes or no

Rain probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm falls at your location — not how long it rains. For Tonga we combine the hourly probability curve, expected volume in millimetres, and the city's own rainfall record into a single umbrella verdict.

FactorWeightWhat it measures
Hourly probability 40% Peak and sustained chance of measurable rain across the next 24 hours.
Expected volume 30% Total millimetres, which separates a passing shower from a genuine soaking.
Timing & duration 20% When rain starts, when it eases, and the longest continuous dry window.
Local rain type 10% Drizzle, brief showers, thunderstorms or monsoon — each needs different gear.

Live hourly values come from Open-Meteo and refresh through the day. Monthly rainfall figures are climate normals, so they describe a typical year rather than a forecast.

Frequently asked questions

How often does it rain in Tonga?

Tonga records rain on roughly 112 days a year — about a 31% chance on any given day — totalling around 1780mm.

What is the rainiest month in Tonga?

March, with about 192mm over 15 rain days. That is 11% of the entire year's rainfall in a single month.

When is the driest time in Tonga?

July is the driest month at 72mm across roughly 6 days. June through October offers the driest, most comfortable conditions.

Do I need an umbrella in Tonga?

Tonga has a tropical wet/dry season. Cyclone risk exists from November through April — the dry season (May-October) is ideal for visiting.

Does a 40% rain probability mean it will rain for 40% of the day?

No. Probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm of rain falls at your location at some point in the period. Check the expected millimetres alongside it: 40% with 0.4mm is a passing shower, 40% with 12mm is a soaking.

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