Playa del Carmen records about 1232mm of rain across roughly 96 wet days a year, which is a 26% chance on an average day. October is the wettest month at 232mm (19% of the annual total) and March the driest at 22mm. Local rain type: brief showers. Playa has a clear dry season (November-April). Hurricane season peaks September-October with potentially extreme rainfall. Buy travel insurance.
Chance of rain on an average day: 26%
Rainfall climatology for Playa del Carmen. The live hour-by-hour answer for today loads at the top of this page from Open-Meteo and refreshes through the day — the figures below describe a typical year, not today.
Last updated: · Live forecast data refreshes hourly.
| Annual rainfall | 1232mm |
| Rain days per year | 96 |
| Odds on an average day | 26% |
| Wettest month | October — 232mm over 19 days |
| Driest month | March — 22mm over 2 days |
| Rain type | brief showers |
| Best dry window | December through April offers dry, sunny beach weather. |
| Worst rain window | September and October bring peak hurricane season risk. |
October delivers 955% more rain than March (232mm vs 22mm). That gap is the difference between planning around showers and ignoring them.
No single month holds more than 19% of the annual total, so rain in Playa del Carmen is spread through the year — there is no season you can rely on being dry.
Playa del Carmen rain typically comes as discrete showers, so a compact umbrella and a flexible plan are usually enough.
Rain falls on about 19 days in October against 2 in March — the frequency swing matters more for planning than the millimetre totals.
Climate normals. Use them to judge whether today's live forecast at the top of the page is typical or unusual for the season.
| Month | Rainfall | Rain days | Chance on a given day | Highs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 55mm | 4 | 13% | 28°C |
| February | 38mm | 3 | 10% | 28°C |
| March | 22mm | 2 | 7% | 29°C |
| April | 28mm | 2 | 7% | 30°C |
| May | 72mm | 6 | 20% | 31°C |
| June | 192mm | 15 | 50% | 32°C |
| July | 92mm | 7 | 23% | 33°C |
| August | 125mm | 10 | 33% | 33°C |
| September | 216mm | 17 | 57% | 32°C |
| October | 232mm | 19 | 63% | 31°C |
| November | 88mm | 7 | 23% | 30°C |
| December | 42mm | 3 | 10% | 29°C |
Rain probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm falls at your location — not how long it rains. For Playa del Carmen we combine the hourly probability curve, expected volume in millimetres, and the city's own rainfall record into a single umbrella verdict.
| Factor | Weight | What it measures |
|---|---|---|
| Hourly probability | 40% | Peak and sustained chance of measurable rain across the next 24 hours. |
| Expected volume | 30% | Total millimetres, which separates a passing shower from a genuine soaking. |
| Timing & duration | 20% | When rain starts, when it eases, and the longest continuous dry window. |
| Local rain type | 10% | Drizzle, brief showers, thunderstorms or monsoon — each needs different gear. |
Live hourly values come from Open-Meteo and refresh through the day. Monthly rainfall figures are climate normals, so they describe a typical year rather than a forecast.
Playa del Carmen records rain on roughly 96 days a year — about a 26% chance on any given day — totalling around 1232mm.
October, with about 232mm over 19 rain days. That is 19% of the entire year's rainfall in a single month.
March is the driest month at 22mm across roughly 2 days. December through April offers dry, sunny beach weather.
Playa has a clear dry season (November-April). Hurricane season peaks September-October with potentially extreme rainfall. Buy travel insurance.
No. Probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm of rain falls at your location at some point in the period. Check the expected millimetres alongside it: 40% with 0.4mm is a passing shower, 40% with 12mm is a soaking.