Memphis records about 843mm of rain across roughly 119 wet days a year, which is a 33% chance on an average day. May is the wettest month at 138mm (16% of the annual total) and August the driest at 21mm. Local rain type: steady rain.
Chance of rain on an average day: 33%
Rainfall climatology for Memphis. The live hour-by-hour answer for today loads at the top of this page from Open-Meteo and refreshes through the day — the figures below describe a typical year, not today.
Last updated: · Live forecast data refreshes hourly.
| Annual rainfall | 843mm |
| Rain days per year | 119 |
| Odds on an average day | 33% |
| Wettest month | May — 138mm over 15 days |
| Driest month | August — 21mm over 2 days |
| Rain type | steady rain |
| Best dry window | August is the most reliable dry stretch of the year. |
| Worst rain window | May carries the highest chance of a washed-out day. |
May delivers 557% more rain than August (138mm vs 21mm). That gap is the difference between planning around showers and ignoring them.
No single month holds more than 16% of the annual total, so rain in Memphis is spread through the year — there is no season you can rely on being dry.
Memphis rain typically comes as discrete showers, so a compact umbrella and a flexible plan are usually enough.
Rain falls on about 15 days in May against 2 in August — the frequency swing matters more for planning than the millimetre totals.
Climate normals. Use them to judge whether today's live forecast at the top of the page is typical or unusual for the season.
| Month | Rainfall | Rain days | Chance on a given day | Highs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 66mm | 11 | 37% | 12°C |
| February | 78mm | 13 | 43% | 13°C |
| March | 90mm | 15 | 50% | 17°C |
| April | 78mm | 13 | 43% | 23°C |
| May | 138mm | 15 | 50% | 28°C |
| June | 93mm | 10 | 33% | 32°C |
| July | 57mm | 6 | 20% | 33°C |
| August | 21mm | 2 | 7% | 32°C |
| September | 48mm | 5 | 17% | 28°C |
| October | 42mm | 7 | 23% | 23°C |
| November | 66mm | 11 | 37% | 17°C |
| December | 66mm | 11 | 37% | 13°C |
Rain probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm falls at your location — not how long it rains. For Memphis we combine the hourly probability curve, expected volume in millimetres, and the city's own rainfall record into a single umbrella verdict.
| Factor | Weight | What it measures |
|---|---|---|
| Hourly probability | 40% | Peak and sustained chance of measurable rain across the next 24 hours. |
| Expected volume | 30% | Total millimetres, which separates a passing shower from a genuine soaking. |
| Timing & duration | 20% | When rain starts, when it eases, and the longest continuous dry window. |
| Local rain type | 10% | Drizzle, brief showers, thunderstorms or monsoon — each needs different gear. |
Live hourly values come from Open-Meteo and refresh through the day. Monthly rainfall figures are climate normals, so they describe a typical year rather than a forecast.
Memphis records rain on roughly 119 days a year — about a 33% chance on any given day — totalling around 843mm.
May, with about 138mm over 15 rain days. That is 16% of the entire year's rainfall in a single month.
August is the driest month at 21mm across roughly 2 days.
With rain on about 33% of days and steady rain as the dominant type, a compact umbrella or waterproof shell is worth packing for Memphis outside August.
No. Probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm of rain falls at your location at some point in the period. Check the expected millimetres alongside it: 40% with 0.4mm is a passing shower, 40% with 12mm is a soaking.