Quick answer: Rain risk in Marbella is answered hour by hour above: below 20 % probability plans are safe, 20–50 % means carry a jacket, and above 50 % expect to get wet. Forecast confidence is highest inside 72 hours.
Conditions on this page are recalculated from the latest forecast every time it is opened, for the current date in the location's own time zone. Showing .
If you're trying to figure out whether to take an umbrella in Marbella, Spain, or whether to postpone an outdoor plan, this page gives a direct answer. We show today's rain probability hour-by-hour, expected precipitation amounts in millimetres, and a 7-day outlook that highlights the rainiest day, the driest day, and any thunderstorm risk in Marbella. The forecast is re-fetched from Open-Meteo each time you open the page, and every day carries a confidence band derived from forecast lead time and how variable the forecast itself is — near-term days are safe to plan on, while rain timing further out can still shift by several hours. For travellers, this page is the fastest way to plan around showers in Marbella; for residents, it's a quick rain check that beats opening a generic weather app. Pair it with our "best day to visit Marbella" page if you want a full ranked recommendation across the week.
Probability alone is not a decision. In Marbella we treat under 20 % as go, 20–50 % as carry-a-layer, and over 50 % as plan indoors — and we pair every figure with expected millimetres, because 60 % chance of 0.3 mm drizzle is a completely different day from 40 % chance of 12 mm. A confidence band based on forecast lead time is shown so you know how much the timing could still shift.
Daylight, midday sun angle and golden-hour length below are calculated for Marbella's own coordinates (36.51° N, 4.89° W) on the 15th of each month.
| Month | Daylight | Sun at solar noon | Golden hour |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 9 h 54 min | 32° | 56 min |
| February | 10 h 48 min | 40° | 52 min |
| March | 11 h 54 min | 51° | 50 min |
| April | 13 h 6 min | 63° | 51 min |
| May | 14 h 6 min | 72° | 54 min |
| June | 14 h 36 min | 77° | 57 min |
| July | 14 h 24 min | 75° | 56 min |
| August | 13 h 30 min | 67° | 52 min |
| September | 12 h 24 min | 56° | 50 min |
| October | 11 h 12 min | 44° | 51 min |
| November | 10 h 12 min | 34° | 55 min |
| December | 9 h 42 min | 30° | 58 min |
Scores are capped by dealbreakers — heavy rain, dangerous wind, thick fog or hazardous UV pull a day down no matter how pleasant the rest of the numbers look. Forecast data is Open-Meteo; solar and lunar values are computed for Marbella's own coordinates and time zone. Full details on the methodology page.