Lake Bled records about 1365mm of rain across roughly 120 wet days a year, which is a 33% chance on an average day. June is the wettest month at 133mm (10% of the annual total) and January the driest at 56mm. Local rain type: steady rain. Lake Bled receives significant Alpine precipitation year-round with summer peaks. A rain jacket is essential — showers can roll in from the Julian Alps quickly.
Chance of rain on an average day: 33%
Rainfall climatology for Lake Bled. The live hour-by-hour answer for today loads at the top of this page from Open-Meteo and refreshes through the day — the figures below describe a typical year, not today.
Last updated: · Live forecast data refreshes hourly.
| Annual rainfall | 1365mm |
| Rain days per year | 120 |
| Odds on an average day | 33% |
| Wettest month | June — 133mm over 13 days |
| Driest month | January — 56mm over 5 days |
| Rain type | steady rain |
| Best dry window | September and October offer beautiful autumn colors with somewhat drier conditions. |
| Worst rain window | June and July bring the heaviest rainfall as Alpine thunderstorms. |
June delivers 138% more rain than January (133mm vs 56mm). That gap is the difference between planning around showers and ignoring them.
No single month holds more than 10% of the annual total, so rain in Lake Bled is spread through the year — there is no season you can rely on being dry.
Lake Bled rain typically comes as discrete showers, so a compact umbrella and a flexible plan are usually enough.
Rain falls on about 13 days in June against 5 in January — the frequency swing matters more for planning than the millimetre totals.
Climate normals. Use them to judge whether today's live forecast at the top of the page is typical or unusual for the season.
| Month | Rainfall | Rain days | Chance on a given day | Highs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 56mm | 5 | 17% | 2°C |
| February | 56mm | 5 | 17% | 2°C |
| March | 71mm | 7 | 23% | 5°C |
| April | 100mm | 10 | 33% | 11°C |
| May | 105mm | 10 | 33% | 16°C |
| June | 133mm | 13 | 43% | 22°C |
| July | 115mm | 11 | 37% | 25°C |
| August | 119mm | 12 | 40% | 25°C |
| September | 125mm | 12 | 40% | 22°C |
| October | 124mm | 12 | 40% | 16°C |
| November | 116mm | 11 | 37% | 11°C |
| December | 102mm | 10 | 33% | 5°C |
Rain probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm falls at your location — not how long it rains. For Lake Bled we combine the hourly probability curve, expected volume in millimetres, and the city's own rainfall record into a single umbrella verdict.
| Factor | Weight | What it measures |
|---|---|---|
| Hourly probability | 40% | Peak and sustained chance of measurable rain across the next 24 hours. |
| Expected volume | 30% | Total millimetres, which separates a passing shower from a genuine soaking. |
| Timing & duration | 20% | When rain starts, when it eases, and the longest continuous dry window. |
| Local rain type | 10% | Drizzle, brief showers, thunderstorms or monsoon — each needs different gear. |
Live hourly values come from Open-Meteo and refresh through the day. Monthly rainfall figures are climate normals, so they describe a typical year rather than a forecast.
Lake Bled records rain on roughly 120 days a year — about a 33% chance on any given day — totalling around 1365mm.
June, with about 133mm over 13 rain days. That is 10% of the entire year's rainfall in a single month.
January is the driest month at 56mm across roughly 5 days. September and October offer beautiful autumn colors with somewhat drier conditions.
Lake Bled receives significant Alpine precipitation year-round with summer peaks. A rain jacket is essential — showers can roll in from the Julian Alps quickly.
No. Probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm of rain falls at your location at some point in the period. Check the expected millimetres alongside it: 40% with 0.4mm is a passing shower, 40% with 12mm is a soaking.