Kenya records about 906mm of rain across roughly 102 wet days a year, which is a 28% chance on an average day. November is the wettest month at 120mm (13% of the annual total) and August the driest at 18mm. Local rain type: brief showers.
Chance of rain on an average day: 28%
Rainfall climatology for Kenya. The live hour-by-hour answer for today loads at the top of this page from Open-Meteo and refreshes through the day — the figures below describe a typical year, not today.
Conditions on this page are recalculated from the latest forecast every time it is opened, for the current date in the location's own time zone. Showing .
| Annual rainfall | 906mm |
| Rain days per year | 102 |
| Odds on an average day | 28% |
| Wettest month | November — 120mm over 13 days |
| Driest month | August — 18mm over 3 days |
| Rain type | brief showers |
| Best dry window | August is the most reliable dry stretch of the year. |
| Worst rain window | November carries the highest chance of a washed-out day. |
November delivers 567% more rain than August (120mm vs 18mm). That gap is the difference between planning around showers and ignoring them.
No single month holds more than 13% of the annual total, so rain in Kenya is spread through the year — there is no season you can rely on being dry.
Kenya rain typically comes as discrete showers, so a compact umbrella and a flexible plan are usually enough.
Rain falls on about 13 days in November against 3 in August — the frequency swing matters more for planning than the millimetre totals.
Climate normals. Use them to judge whether today's live forecast at the top of the page is typical or unusual for the season.
| Month | Rainfall | Rain days | Chance on a given day | Highs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 48mm | 5 | 17% | 28°C |
| February | 66mm | 7 | 23% | 28°C |
| March | 102mm | 11 | 37% | 28°C |
| April | 120mm | 13 | 43% | 27°C |
| May | 120mm | 13 | 43% | 27°C |
| June | 84mm | 9 | 30% | 26°C |
| July | 30mm | 5 | 17% | 25°C |
| August | 18mm | 3 | 10% | 25°C |
| September | 30mm | 5 | 17% | 25°C |
| October | 84mm | 9 | 30% | 26°C |
| November | 120mm | 13 | 43% | 27°C |
| December | 84mm | 9 | 30% | 27°C |
Rain probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm falls at your location — not how long it rains. For Kenya we combine the hourly probability curve, expected volume in millimetres, and the city's own rainfall record into a single umbrella verdict.
| Factor | Weight | What it measures |
|---|---|---|
| Hourly probability | 40% | Peak and sustained chance of measurable rain across the next 24 hours. |
| Expected volume | 30% | Total millimetres, which separates a passing shower from a genuine soaking. |
| Timing & duration | 20% | When rain starts, when it eases, and the longest continuous dry window. |
| Local rain type | 10% | Drizzle, brief showers, thunderstorms or monsoon — each needs different gear. |
Live hourly values come from Open-Meteo and refresh through the day. Monthly rainfall figures are climate normals, so they describe a typical year rather than a forecast.
Kenya records rain on roughly 102 days a year — about a 28% chance on any given day — totalling around 906mm.
November, with about 120mm over 13 rain days. That is 13% of the entire year's rainfall in a single month.
August is the driest month at 18mm across roughly 3 days.
With rain on about 28% of days and brief showers as the dominant type, a compact umbrella or waterproof shell is worth packing for Kenya outside August.
No. Probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm of rain falls at your location at some point in the period. Check the expected millimetres alongside it: 40% with 0.4mm is a passing shower, 40% with 12mm is a soaking.