Cebu records about 1575mm of rain across roughly 113 wet days a year, which is a 31% chance on an average day. October is the wettest month at 198mm (13% of the annual total) and April the driest at 42mm. Local rain type: monsoon. Cebu has a shorter dry season than other Philippine islands. The Visayan Sea moderates rainfall — storms are less intense than Luzon but more persistent.
Chance of rain on an average day: 31%
Rainfall climatology for Cebu. The live hour-by-hour answer for today loads at the top of this page from Open-Meteo and refreshes through the day — the figures below describe a typical year, not today.
Last updated: · Live forecast data refreshes hourly.
| Annual rainfall | 1575mm |
| Rain days per year | 113 |
| Odds on an average day | 31% |
| Wettest month | October — 198mm over 15 days |
| Driest month | April — 42mm over 3 days |
| Rain type | monsoon |
| Best dry window | March through May offers the driest weather for beach activities. |
| Worst rain window | September through November brings the heaviest sustained rainfall. |
October delivers 371% more rain than April (198mm vs 42mm). That gap is the difference between planning around showers and ignoring them.
No single month holds more than 13% of the annual total, so rain in Cebu is spread through the year — there is no season you can rely on being dry.
Cebu rain arrives in short, heavy bursts — shelter and timing matter more than gear.
Rain falls on about 15 days in October against 3 in April — the frequency swing matters more for planning than the millimetre totals.
Climate normals. Use them to judge whether today's live forecast at the top of the page is typical or unusual for the season.
| Month | Rainfall | Rain days | Chance on a given day | Highs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 68mm | 5 | 17% | 30°C |
| February | 48mm | 4 | 13% | 30°C |
| March | 56mm | 4 | 13% | 30°C |
| April | 42mm | 3 | 10% | 31°C |
| May | 82mm | 6 | 20% | 32°C |
| June | 175mm | 14 | 47% | 33°C |
| July | 195mm | 15 | 50% | 33°C |
| August | 162mm | 13 | 43% | 33°C |
| September | 178mm | 14 | 47% | 33°C |
| October | 198mm | 15 | 50% | 32°C |
| November | 145mm | 11 | 37% | 31°C |
| December | 95mm | 7 | 23% | 30°C |
Rain probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm falls at your location — not how long it rains. For Cebu we combine the hourly probability curve, expected volume in millimetres, and the city's own rainfall record into a single umbrella verdict.
| Factor | Weight | What it measures |
|---|---|---|
| Hourly probability | 40% | Peak and sustained chance of measurable rain across the next 24 hours. |
| Expected volume | 30% | Total millimetres, which separates a passing shower from a genuine soaking. |
| Timing & duration | 20% | When rain starts, when it eases, and the longest continuous dry window. |
| Local rain type | 10% | Drizzle, brief showers, thunderstorms or monsoon — each needs different gear. |
Live hourly values come from Open-Meteo and refresh through the day. Monthly rainfall figures are climate normals, so they describe a typical year rather than a forecast.
Cebu records rain on roughly 113 days a year — about a 31% chance on any given day — totalling around 1575mm.
October, with about 198mm over 15 rain days. That is 13% of the entire year's rainfall in a single month.
April is the driest month at 42mm across roughly 3 days. March through May offers the driest weather for beach activities.
Cebu has a shorter dry season than other Philippine islands. The Visayan Sea moderates rainfall — storms are less intense than Luzon but more persistent.
No. Probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm of rain falls at your location at some point in the period. Check the expected millimetres alongside it: 40% with 0.4mm is a passing shower, 40% with 12mm is a soaking.