Will It Rain in Cape Town Today?

Cape Town is mostly dry — rain falls on only about 22% of days

Cape Town records about 515mm of rain across roughly 82 wet days a year, which is a 22% chance on an average day. June is the wettest month at 93mm (18% of the annual total) and November the driest at 14mm. Local rain type: steady rain. Pack one for May through August (Cape Town winter). Summer visitors (November-March) can enjoy almost rain-free conditions perfect for outdoor activities.

Chance of rain on an average day: 22%

Rainfall climatology for Cape Town. The live hour-by-hour answer for today loads at the top of this page from Open-Meteo and refreshes through the day — the figures below describe a typical year, not today.

Last updated: · Live forecast data refreshes hourly.

Key numbers for Cape Town

Annual rainfall515mm
Rain days per year82
Odds on an average day22%
Wettest monthJune — 93mm over 15 days
Driest monthNovember — 14mm over 2 days
Rain typesteady rain
Best dry windowDecember through February offers hot, dry conditions ideal for beaches and Table Mountain.
Worst rain windowJune and July bring cold fronts from the Atlantic with steady rain and strong winds.

What the data actually tells you

Wettest against driest

June delivers 564% more rain than November (93mm vs 14mm). That gap is the difference between planning around showers and ignoring them.

How concentrated the rain is

No single month holds more than 18% of the annual total, so rain in Cape Town is spread through the year — there is no season you can rely on being dry.

Umbrella or jacket

Cape Town rain typically comes as discrete showers, so a compact umbrella and a flexible plan are usually enough.

Wet-day frequency

Rain falls on about 15 days in June against 2 in November — the frequency swing matters more for planning than the millimetre totals.

Monthly rainfall in Cape Town

Climate normals. Use them to judge whether today's live forecast at the top of the page is typical or unusual for the season.

MonthRainfallRain daysChance on a given dayHighs
January15mm27%28°C
February17mm310%28°C
March20mm310%26°C
April41mm723%24°C
May69mm1137%21°C
June93mm1550%19°C
July82mm1343%17°C
August77mm1240%17°C
September40mm620%19°C
October30mm517%21°C
November14mm27%24°C
December17mm310%26°C

Planning around rain in Cape Town

How we turn rain data into a yes or no

Rain probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm falls at your location — not how long it rains. For Cape Town we combine the hourly probability curve, expected volume in millimetres, and the city's own rainfall record into a single umbrella verdict.

FactorWeightWhat it measures
Hourly probability 40% Peak and sustained chance of measurable rain across the next 24 hours.
Expected volume 30% Total millimetres, which separates a passing shower from a genuine soaking.
Timing & duration 20% When rain starts, when it eases, and the longest continuous dry window.
Local rain type 10% Drizzle, brief showers, thunderstorms or monsoon — each needs different gear.

Live hourly values come from Open-Meteo and refresh through the day. Monthly rainfall figures are climate normals, so they describe a typical year rather than a forecast.

Frequently asked questions

How often does it rain in Cape Town?

Cape Town records rain on roughly 82 days a year — about a 22% chance on any given day — totalling around 515mm.

What is the rainiest month in Cape Town?

June, with about 93mm over 15 rain days. That is 18% of the entire year's rainfall in a single month.

When is the driest time in Cape Town?

November is the driest month at 14mm across roughly 2 days. December through February offers hot, dry conditions ideal for beaches and Table Mountain.

Do I need an umbrella in Cape Town?

Pack one for May through August (Cape Town winter). Summer visitors (November-March) can enjoy almost rain-free conditions perfect for outdoor activities.

Does a 40% rain probability mean it will rain for 40% of the day?

No. Probability is the chance that at least 0.2mm of rain falls at your location at some point in the period. Check the expected millimetres alongside it: 40% with 0.4mm is a passing shower, 40% with 12mm is a soaking.

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