February scores 77/100 for outdoor ceremonies: very low rain risk (1 wet days, 10mm), 30°C afternoons cooling to about 25°C for the reception, and 11.5 hours of daylight for the photography schedule. August is the month to avoid at 20/100.
February outdoor ceremony score: 77/100
Climate normals for Manila rescored on wedding-specific weighting. Once your date falls inside the 14-day window the live forecast on this page takes over.
Last updated: · Live forecast data refreshes hourly.
| Best wedding month | February — 77/100 |
| Second choice | March — 76/100 |
| Month to avoid | August — 20/100 |
| Rain risk in the best month | Very low — rain on about 1 days |
| Guest comfort | 66/100 at 30°C |
| Reception temperature | ≈ 25°C after sunset in February |
| Photo light | 8h of sun across a 11.5h day |
| Months scoring 65+ | 4 of 12 |
February keeps seated guests at 30°C in the afternoon and around 25°C after sunset — the closest Manila gets to a ceremony that needs neither shade structures nor patio heaters.
Rain falls on roughly 1 days in February (very low risk, 10mm). A simple marquee-on-standby is usually enough.
February gives 11.5 hours of daylight and about 8 hours of direct sun per day, so a late-afternoon ceremony puts portraits inside golden hour rather than after it.
August scores 20/100 for weddings in Manila: 34°C highs, 380mm of rain and 28°C evenings make a fully outdoor plan fragile.
Scored on rain risk, guest comfort, evening temperature and photographic light — deliberately different weighting from the travel score.
| Month | Wedding score | Rain risk | Afternoon | Evening | Guest comfort | Photo light |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 73/100 | Very low (1 days) | 30°C | 25°C | 66/100 | 54/100 |
| February | 77/100 | Very low (1 days) | 30°C | 25°C | 66/100 | 76/100 |
| March | 76/100 | Very low (1 days) | 31°C | 25°C | 62/100 | 77/100 |
| April | 72/100 | Very low (2 days) | 31°C | 26°C | 62/100 | 81/100 |
| May | 45/100 | Moderate (9 days) | 33°C | 27°C | 54/100 | 65/100 |
| June | 29/100 | High (17 days) | 33°C | 28°C | 49/100 | 46/100 |
| July | 20/100 | High (25 days) | 34°C | 28°C | 42/100 | 0/100 |
| August | 20/100 | High (25 days) | 34°C | 28°C | 42/100 | 0/100 |
| September | 21/100 | High (21 days) | 33°C | 28°C | 46/100 | 0/100 |
| October | 26/100 | Moderate (13 days) | 33°C | 27°C | 54/100 | 8/100 |
| November | 49/100 | Low (7 days) | 31°C | 26°C | 62/100 | 28/100 |
| December | 62/100 | Low (4 days) | 31°C | 25°C | 62/100 | 44/100 |
Wedding weather is scored differently from travel weather: seated guests in formalwear tolerate a narrower band than sightseers, and the ceremony hour matters more than the daily average. Each month in Manila is scored 0–100 on the weighting below.
| Factor | Weight | What it measures |
|---|---|---|
| Dry conditions | 38% | Share of days with measurable rain — the single factor most likely to force a backup plan. |
| Guest comfort | 27% | Distance from a 22°C daytime ideal, with an extra penalty for humid heat above 24°C. |
| Evening temperature | 20% | Modelled reception-hour temperature against an 18°C ideal for an outdoor evening. |
| Photo light | 15% | Sunshine hours and daylight length, which set the length and quality of the golden hour window. |
Based on long-run climate averages rather than a forecast. Plan the ceremony around the golden hour — see golden hour times for Manila linked below.
February, at 77/100. It combines very low rain risk with 30°C afternoons and roughly 25°C evenings, which is the most forgiving combination Manila offers for seated guests.
August scores 20/100: 34°C highs, 380mm of rain over about 25 days and 28°C evenings make a fully outdoor plan fragile.
In February rain falls on roughly 1 of 30 days, so the single-day probability is about 3%. In August that rises to about 83%.
A marquee on standby is usually enough in February, where rain risk is very low. Outside the 4 months scoring 65 or higher, book real covered space.
February gives 11.5 hours of daylight and about 8 hours of direct sun. Put portraits in the final 60–90 minutes of daylight so they land inside golden hour rather than after it.