May scores 87/100 for outdoor ceremonies: very low rain risk (2 wet days, 24mm), 23°C afternoons cooling to about 18°C for the reception, and 14.3 hours of daylight for the photography schedule. January is the month to avoid at 48/100.
May outdoor ceremony score: 87/100
Climate normals for Capri rescored on wedding-specific weighting. Once your date falls inside the 14-day window the live forecast on this page takes over.
Last updated: · Live forecast data refreshes hourly.
| Best wedding month | May — 87/100 |
| Second choice | June — 87/100 |
| Month to avoid | January — 48/100 |
| Rain risk in the best month | Very low — rain on about 2 days |
| Guest comfort | 96/100 at 23°C |
| Reception temperature | ≈ 18°C after sunset in May |
| Photo light | 6h of sun across a 14.3h day |
| Months scoring 65+ | 7 of 12 |
May keeps seated guests at 23°C in the afternoon and around 18°C after sunset — the closest Capri gets to a ceremony that needs neither shade structures nor patio heaters.
Rain falls on roughly 2 days in May (very low risk, 24mm). A simple marquee-on-standby is usually enough.
May gives 14.3 hours of daylight and about 6 hours of direct sun per day, so a late-afternoon ceremony puts portraits inside golden hour rather than after it.
January scores 48/100 for weddings in Capri: 14°C highs, 95mm of rain and 10°C evenings make a fully outdoor plan fragile.
Scored on rain risk, guest comfort, evening temperature and photographic light — deliberately different weighting from the travel score.
| Month | Wedding score | Rain risk | Afternoon | Evening | Guest comfort | Photo light |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 48/100 | Moderate (8 days) | 14°C | 10°C | 73/100 | 27/100 |
| February | 54/100 | Low (6 days) | 14°C | 10°C | 73/100 | 22/100 |
| March | 64/100 | Low (5 days) | 16°C | 12°C | 80/100 | 42/100 |
| April | 76/100 | Low (4 days) | 20°C | 15°C | 93/100 | 55/100 |
| May | 87/100 | Very low (2 days) | 23°C | 18°C | 96/100 | 64/100 |
| June | 87/100 | Very low (1 days) | 27°C | 22°C | 79/100 | 100/100 |
| July | 83/100 | Very low (1 days) | 29°C | 24°C | 71/100 | 100/100 |
| August | 83/100 | Very low (1 days) | 29°C | 24°C | 71/100 | 100/100 |
| September | 76/100 | Low (4 days) | 27°C | 22°C | 79/100 | 88/100 |
| October | 69/100 | Moderate (8 days) | 23°C | 18°C | 96/100 | 65/100 |
| November | 52/100 | Moderate (10 days) | 20°C | 15°C | 93/100 | 14/100 |
| December | 54/100 | Low (7 days) | 16°C | 12°C | 80/100 | 16/100 |
Wedding weather is scored differently from travel weather: seated guests in formalwear tolerate a narrower band than sightseers, and the ceremony hour matters more than the daily average. Each month in Capri is scored 0–100 on the weighting below.
| Factor | Weight | What it measures |
|---|---|---|
| Dry conditions | 38% | Share of days with measurable rain — the single factor most likely to force a backup plan. |
| Guest comfort | 27% | Distance from a 22°C daytime ideal, with an extra penalty for humid heat above 24°C. |
| Evening temperature | 20% | Modelled reception-hour temperature against an 18°C ideal for an outdoor evening. |
| Photo light | 15% | Sunshine hours and daylight length, which set the length and quality of the golden hour window. |
Based on long-run climate averages rather than a forecast. Plan the ceremony around the golden hour — see golden hour times for Capri linked below.
May, at 87/100. It combines very low rain risk with 23°C afternoons and roughly 18°C evenings, which is the most forgiving combination Capri offers for seated guests.
January scores 48/100: 14°C highs, 95mm of rain over about 8 days and 10°C evenings make a fully outdoor plan fragile.
In May rain falls on roughly 2 of 30 days, so the single-day probability is about 7%. In January that rises to about 27%.
A marquee on standby is usually enough in May, where rain risk is very low. Outside the 7 months scoring 65 or higher, book real covered space.
May gives 14.3 hours of daylight and about 6 hours of direct sun. Put portraits in the final 60–90 minutes of daylight so they land inside golden hour rather than after it.