February scores 90/100 for outdoor ceremonies: very low rain risk (1 wet days, 3mm), 24°C afternoons cooling to about 17°C for the reception, and 11.2 hours of daylight for the photography schedule. September is the month to avoid at 50/100.
February outdoor ceremony score: 90/100
Climate normals for Cabo San Lucas rescored on wedding-specific weighting. Once your date falls inside the 14-day window the live forecast on this page takes over.
Last updated: · Live forecast data refreshes hourly.
| Best wedding month | February — 90/100 |
| Second choice | March — 89/100 |
| Month to avoid | September — 50/100 |
| Rain risk in the best month | Very low — rain on about 1 days |
| Guest comfort | 92/100 at 24°C |
| Reception temperature | ≈ 17°C after sunset in February |
| Photo light | 8h of sun across a 11.2h day |
| Months scoring 65+ | 9 of 12 |
February keeps seated guests at 24°C in the afternoon and around 17°C after sunset — the closest Cabo San Lucas gets to a ceremony that needs neither shade structures nor patio heaters.
Rain falls on roughly 1 days in February (very low risk, 3mm). A simple marquee-on-standby is usually enough.
February gives 11.2 hours of daylight and about 8 hours of direct sun per day, so a late-afternoon ceremony puts portraits inside golden hour rather than after it.
September scores 50/100 for weddings in Cabo San Lucas: 34°C highs, 55mm of rain and 26°C evenings make a fully outdoor plan fragile.
Scored on rain risk, guest comfort, evening temperature and photographic light — deliberately different weighting from the travel score.
| Month | Wedding score | Rain risk | Afternoon | Evening | Guest comfort | Photo light |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 83/100 | Very low (2 days) | 24°C | 17°C | 92/100 | 49/100 |
| February | 90/100 | Very low (1 days) | 24°C | 17°C | 92/100 | 75/100 |
| March | 89/100 | Very low (1 days) | 26°C | 18°C | 83/100 | 77/100 |
| April | 85/100 | Very low (1 days) | 28°C | 21°C | 75/100 | 85/100 |
| May | 78/100 | Very low (1 days) | 32°C | 24°C | 58/100 | 93/100 |
| June | 75/100 | Very low (1 days) | 34°C | 26°C | 50/100 | 100/100 |
| July | 66/100 | Very low (2 days) | 36°C | 28°C | 41/100 | 97/100 |
| August | 60/100 | Low (4 days) | 36°C | 28°C | 41/100 | 90/100 |
| September | 50/100 | Low (6 days) | 34°C | 26°C | 50/100 | 39/100 |
| October | 61/100 | Low (4 days) | 32°C | 24°C | 58/100 | 38/100 |
| November | 85/100 | Very low (1 days) | 28°C | 21°C | 75/100 | 82/100 |
| December | 89/100 | Very low (1 days) | 26°C | 18°C | 83/100 | 74/100 |
Wedding weather is scored differently from travel weather: seated guests in formalwear tolerate a narrower band than sightseers, and the ceremony hour matters more than the daily average. Each month in Cabo San Lucas is scored 0–100 on the weighting below.
| Factor | Weight | What it measures |
|---|---|---|
| Dry conditions | 38% | Share of days with measurable rain — the single factor most likely to force a backup plan. |
| Guest comfort | 27% | Distance from a 22°C daytime ideal, with an extra penalty for humid heat above 24°C. |
| Evening temperature | 20% | Modelled reception-hour temperature against an 18°C ideal for an outdoor evening. |
| Photo light | 15% | Sunshine hours and daylight length, which set the length and quality of the golden hour window. |
Based on long-run climate averages rather than a forecast. Plan the ceremony around the golden hour — see golden hour times for Cabo San Lucas linked below.
February, at 90/100. It combines very low rain risk with 24°C afternoons and roughly 17°C evenings, which is the most forgiving combination Cabo San Lucas offers for seated guests.
September scores 50/100: 34°C highs, 55mm of rain over about 6 days and 26°C evenings make a fully outdoor plan fragile.
In February rain falls on roughly 1 of 30 days, so the single-day probability is about 3%. In September that rises to about 20%.
A marquee on standby is usually enough in February, where rain risk is very low. Outside the 9 months scoring 65 or higher, book real covered space.
February gives 11.2 hours of daylight and about 8 hours of direct sun. Put portraits in the final 60–90 minutes of daylight so they land inside golden hour rather than after it.